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Lessons for emerging economies, Romania included

Published at: 24-03-2019

Posted on: March 24th, 2019 by RaduC No Comments

The US Treasury yield curve has inverted as 3-month yield tops the 10-year yield. This is the first time that this has happened since 2007, and the WSJ noted that the move had preceded every recession since 1975. As the clock is ticking towards a new recession (or crisis?) the question on everybody`s lips is: […]

The failures are also ours

Published at: 04-01-2019

Posted on: January 4th, 2019 by RaduC No Comments

At the beginning of the `90s when I started my studies to transition from being an aircraft engineer to a management consultant, one of my English professors conducted a survey. As a specialist in organizational behavior, he wanted to assess how much the then Romanian CEOs were aware of the fact that the future of […]

Crisis or recession?

Published at: 07-12-2018

Posted on: December 7th, 2018 by RaduC No Comments

There is a long-standing misunderstanding in the public mind. It must be corrected because it is significant. Many people ask when the next crisis is going to strike again, without clearly discriminating between recession and a full-blown crisis. A recession is due to follow relatively soon because it is part of cyclical economic changes which […]

The illusion of a free lunch using chopsticks

Published at: 09-11-2018

Posted on: November 9th, 2018 by RaduC No Comments

For some time now, Romania has been in the grasp of an illusion. It is based on the assumption that countries such as China or the Gulf states have so much cash available that their investment criteria are extremely loose.  Much more than the European requirements for granting development funds. To put it differently, they […]

A new globalisation? For whom?

Published at: 18-10-2018

Posted on: October 18th, 2018 by RaduC No Comments

I recently had the opportunity to attend an INSEAD conference, the prestigious European postgraduate school branding itself as “The Business School for the World”.  The event was entitled “Managing disruption at the Board and Executive level”. It was a select gathering, with participants from the academia everywhere and also board and executive managers at some […]

The hypocrisy drowning in smoke our Planet

Published at: 05-10-2018

Posted on: October 5th, 2018 by RaduC No Comments

I don`t think that we can build a pollution-free planet just on a voluntary change of behavior. This is a statement not likely to attract much sympathy. But frankly, I do believe that people will change their behavior on a massive scale only when driven by financial reasons. Many may do it on ethical grounds, […]

The legacy of central banks

Published at: 28-09-2018

Posted on: September 28th, 2018 by RaduC No Comments

The crisis that started in 2008 has put to the test the ability of central banks to put aside traditional economic wisdom and try their hand at the most unorthodox measures, instead, to prevent economies from slipping into a depression similar to that in the `30s. The world`s great chance may have been the fact […]

Welcome to the land of elders!

Published at: 21-09-2018

Posted on: September 21st, 2018 by RaduC No Comments

We live in a country which is aging and losing its population at an alarming rate. In the last 30 years the population fell by 3.5 million people and UN estimates show that by 2050 it will have lost another 3.3 million. That means that the country we live in will experience the 7th most […]

“Too big to fail” is still with us

Published at: 14-09-2018

Posted on: September 14th, 2018 by RaduC No Comments

Ten years after the Lehman Brothers collapse a question is on everyone`s lips: can this happen again? The worries around such a possibility are completely justified by the crisis that Ben Bernanke, a former FED Chairman deemed the worst in mankind`s history, surpassing, therefore, the Great Depression which broke out in 1929. The reason is […]

Good news for illiberal politicians

Published at: 10-08-2018

Posted on: August 10th, 2018 by RaduC No Comments

In 1997 the well-known CNN journalist and political analyst, Fareed Zakaria wrote a visionary commentary entitled “The rise of the illiberal democracy” which predicted the rise of a new category of leaders: popular autocrats intent on governing without much regard to the rule of law or civil rights. And that despite the fact that the […]

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