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Statism – a false solution to a real problem

Published at: 31-05-2024

Posted on: May 31st, 2024 by RaduC No Comments

The rise of populism is a cause for concern all over the world. But the rise of this current of thought in Europe and the US is being watched particularly with concern, because of the major economic and geopolitical impact that developments in these regions could have on the whole world. Populism is primarily the […]

Donald Trump forces Europe to get serious

Published at: 21-01-2024

Posted on: January 21st, 2024 by RaduC No Comments

Donald Trump’s victory is becoming more and more the main scenario of the American elections. Hence, analyses assessing the consequences of such an outcome are multiplying. To this end, Mr. Trump’s decisions during the previous presidency and the statements he has made over the years, especially in the last period, are used as raw material. […]

Forget about the GDP/capita!

Published at: 08-12-2023

Posted on: December 8th, 2023 by RaduC No Comments

The prosperity of a country cannot be reflected by a single indicator For many people, macroeconomic indicators are big unknowns. Concepts like the current account deficit or core inflation are not understood by most of the general public, or even by those in business, who prefer to ignore them. But this is not where the […]

Romania, this time is different!

Published at: 03-09-2023

Posted on: September 3rd, 2023 by RaduC No Comments

It is already common knowledge that, in the process of its accession to the EU and afterwards, Romania used only a part of the European funds it had at its disposal for development and accelerating convergence. Looking at the infrastructure that Hungary and Poland have built during the past decades by maximizing the absorption of […]

Will Romania face an exchange rate crisis?

Published at: 27-08-2023

Posted on: August 27th, 2023 by RaduC No Comments

A recent study by well-known Japanese bank Nomura nominates Romania as the second most vulnerable country to an exchange rate crisis after Egypt. In third and fourth place are Turkey and Sri Lanka, respectively. The alert threshold is defined as the value of 100 of the index, a breach of this threshold being interpreted as […]

Bad news for populists: in the end, economics always wins

Published at: 18-06-2023

Posted on: June 18th, 2023 by RaduC No Comments

Joining the eurozone was seen as a miraculous solution to all the economic problems the country had faced so far. Therefore, any way of achieving this goal, including manipulating economic statistics, was perfectly justified. With a debt of over 100% of GDP and a budget deficit of over 3%, Greece would have had no chance […]

We are the weak link in Ukraine’s defense war

Published at: 04-09-2022

Posted on: September 4th, 2022 by RaduC No Comments

I recently attended a conference on regional security issues with remarkable international participation. Evidently, the paramount topic in all presentations and debates was the war in Ukraine: what could have prevented it, how it is unfolding, what will be the wins/losses for Ukraine and Russia. And, given the military assessments summarized below, it should come […]

The Romanian yield curve has inverted. What does it mean?

Published at: 31-07-2022

Posted on: July 31st, 2022 by RaduC No Comments

The yield curve plots the returns on government bonds by maturity, starting from the shortest and going up to the longest ones. The chart is closely watched as it can provide interesting indicators about the investors’ perception of future economic trends. Usually, the yield curve slopes upward. Short maturities come with lower yields and, as […]

Don’t be afraid of the recession

Published at: 01-05-2022

Posted on: May 1st, 2022 by RaduC No Comments

Over the last 6 months, we have heard countless comments about the delicate situation faced by Central Banks, forced to make a rather impossible choice: either to take on inflation, or try bypass recession. This is indeed an impossible choice since a continued increase in interest rates meant to hold back inflation would eventually lead […]

Superficiality and imposture can seriously damage national security

Published at: 24-04-2022

Posted on: April 24th, 2022 by RaduC No Comments

In recent weeks, we have witnessed a large number of debates, unfortunately including people who can not be suspected of malice or deception, which referred to the cowardice of Romania and those who lead it. The labeling was a consequence of the fact that, while most countries in the region took care to constantly make […]

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